Motorway

M45 traffic and collisions

The M45 is a motorway of 8.2 miles, from West Northamptonshire to Warwickshire. This page covers its traffic at 3 DfT count points since 2000 and the collisions police recorded on it.

Last updated
Records analysed
3 count points in 2025
Methodology
View methodology
  • Traffic in 2025 39m vehicle miles
  • Average daily traffic 13,067 vehicles a day, both directions
  • Busiest section 18,157 At A45T
  • HGV share 13.7% of vehicle miles
  • Traffic since 2019 −10.9% same count points
  • Collisions, 2021 to 2025 6 4 fatal or serious

How busy is the M45?

On an average day in 2025, 13,067 vehicles passed each point on the M45, counting both directions. The busiest section is At A45T (Warwickshire), with 18,157 a day; the quietest listed is M1 to A45, with 11,636.

Busiest sections, 2025

At A45T carries 1.4 times the road’s average flow.

Sections of the M45 with the highest average daily flow, 2025
Section Vehicles a day
At A45T Warwickshire · 1.8 mi · HGVs 12.1% 18,157
M1 to A45 West Northamptonshire, Warwickshire · 6.4 mi · HGVs 14.4% 11,636

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

Route

West Northamptonshire to Warwickshire · 8.2 miles

West Northamptonshire Warwickshire
Schematic route: each line joins the junctions at the ends of a DfT count point link.

M45 traffic and collisions by section

2 sections between junctions, in route order. Each is the average of its DfT count points, weighted by length.

Sections Tap a column heading to sort
Sections of the M45 in route order, 2025 traffic
#
1M1 to A45West Northamptonshire, Warwickshire6.411,63614.4%−12.5%4
2At A45TWarwickshire1.818,15712.1%−7.1%fewer than 3

Vehicles a day is the average daily flow in 2025. “Since 2019” compares the same count points. Collisions are those with the M45 as the first road, placed on the nearest section by their recorded position; rates (per 100 million vehicle miles) are shown for sections of half a mile or more with 10 or more.

M45 traffic by vehicle type

Cars and taxis make up 67.8% of the vehicle miles on the M45. HGVs account for 13.7%.

Vehicle mix, 2025

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

HGV share of traffic

HGVs as a share of vehicle miles on the M45, by year
Year HGV share
2000 11.6%
2001 11.9%
2002 13.7%
2003 12.9%
2004 12.7%
2005 15.3%
2006 15.1%
2007 10.8%
2008 10.6%
2009 9.9%
2010 9.9%
2011 9.3%
2012 9.2%
2013 9.1%
2014 8.8%
2015 8.9%
2016 8.9%
2017 11.8%
2018 12.5%
2019 12.4%
2020 16.0%
2021 15.4%
2022 13.9%
2023 13.5%
2024 13.6%
2025 13.7%

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

M45 traffic trend

Traffic on the M45 came to 39.1 million vehicle miles in 2025. At the count points present in both years, it is down 10.9% on 2019, before the pandemic, and up 13.7% on 2015.

Vehicle miles a year

Like for like, traffic is up 9.5% on 2000.

Vehicle miles on the M45 each year, the whole road as it was that year
Year Vehicle miles
2000 36m
2001 37m
2002 34m
2003 34m
2004 35m
2005 35m
2006 35m
2007 33m
2008 32m
2009 33m
2010 32m
2011 33m
2012 33m
2013 33m
2014 34m
2015 34m
2016 35m
2017 37m
2018 43m
2019 44m
2020 29m
2021 33m
2022 34m
2023 38m
2024 38m
2025 39m

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

Average daily flow

Average daily flow along the M45, weighted by link length, by year
Year Vehicles a day
2000 11,932
2001 12,187
2002 11,474
2003 11,312
2004 11,694
2005 11,664
2006 11,729
2007 10,996
2008 10,806
2009 10,971
2010 10,827
2011 11,000
2012 10,849
2013 11,057
2014 11,265
2015 11,489
2016 11,684
2017 12,382
2018 14,344
2019 14,662
2020 9,649
2021 10,893
2022 11,314
2023 12,767
2024 12,836
2025 13,067

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

The chart counts the whole road as it was each year, so new or renumbered stretches move it. The percentage changes compare only count points present in both years. In 2025, 0 of the 3 count points were counted; DfT estimated the rest from earlier counts and local trends.

M45 collisions

Police recorded 6 collisions with the M45 as the first road from 2021 to 2025, 4 of them fatal or serious.

Reported collisions by year

Police-reported collisions on the M45 by year
Year Collisions Fatal or serious
2021 fewer than 3 fewer than 3
2022 0 0
2023 fewer than 3 fewer than 3
2024 3 fewer than 3
2025 0 0

Source:DfT STATS19,UK Motoring analysis 2021 to 2025 Updated

Fatal or serious uses DfT’s adjusted serious figures. How we count collisions

Council areas on the M45

In route order. Each is the highway authority DfT files the count points under.

  • West Northamptonshire
  • Warwickshire

Planned closures on the M45 in England

National Highways has 5 planned closures on the M45 between 16 September 2026 and 30 September 2026, 2 of them starting in that period. 1 close a carriageway rather than a lane or slip road, and 2 start between 7pm and 6am.

  • Lane or slip Lane closure eastbound including roundabout

    16 Sept 20:00 to 17 Sept 06:00 1 of 2 lanes Road maintenance

  • Carriageway M45 eastbound Thurlaston to M1 Jct 17 carriageway closure

    19 Sept 20:00 to 20 Sept 04:00 Road maintenance

  • Lane or slip Hard shoulder and lane closure eastbound

    Under way, until 17 Sept 1 of 2 lanes Road maintenance

  • Lane or slip Hard shoulder and lane closure eastbound

    Under way, until 5 Oct 1 of 2 lanes Road maintenance

  • Lane or slip Hard shoulder and lane closure eastbound

    Under way, until 21 Sept 1 of 2 lanes Road maintenance

Planned closures only: National Highways can cancel or change them, and closures caused by incidents are not shown. Council roads in England are not covered. Roadworks and closures across the UK

Source:National Highways 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-30 Updated

Data sources and methodology

Datasets used on this page
Figures Source Period Records Updated
Traffic counts and vehicle mix Road traffic statistics (AADF by count point) Department for Transport
Derived statistics UK Motoring
2000 to 2025 3 count points in 2025 15 September 2026
Reported collisions Road safety open data (STATS19) Department for Transport
Derived statistics UK Motoring
2021 to 2025 6 reported collisions 15 September 2026
Planned closures Transport Data Feeds (DATEX II) National Highways 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-30 2,304 planned closure schemes 16 September 2026
  • Annual average daily flow (AADF) is the average number of vehicles passing a point on a typical day of the year, both directions combined.
  • Vehicle miles are AADF multiplied by link length and 365, summed over every count point link on the road.
  • Sections join count point links between junctions, using the link lines in DfT’s major road database.
  • STATS19 covers personal injury collisions reported to the police. Damage-only collisions are not included, and not every injury collision is reported.
  • Serious and slight figures are DfT’s adjusted estimates, which allow for police forces moving to injury-based reporting.
  • Counts of one or two collisions below Great Britain level are shown as “fewer than 3”.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

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