A-road

A538 traffic and collisions

The A538 is an A-road of 16.9 miles, from East Cheshire to Trafford. This page covers its traffic at 8 DfT count points since 2000 and the collisions police recorded on it.

Last updated
Records analysed
8 count points in 2025
Methodology
View methodology
  • Traffic in 2025 83m vehicle miles
  • Average daily traffic 13,487 vehicles a day, both directions
  • Busiest section 19,841 A34 Birrell Way to M56
  • HGV share 1.3% of vehicle miles
  • Traffic since 2019 −2.2% same count points
  • Collisions, 2021 to 2025 99 24.9 per 100m vehicle miles

How busy is the A538?

On an average day in 2025, 13,487 vehicles passed each point on the A538, counting both directions. The busiest section is A34 Birrell Way to M56 (East Cheshire, Manchester), with 19,841 a day; the quietest listed is A537 to Withinlee Rd, Greendale, with 7,531.

Busiest sections, 2025

A34 Birrell Way to M56 carries 1.5 times the road’s average flow.

Sections of the A538 with the highest average daily flow, 2025
Section Vehicles a day
A34 Birrell Way to M56 East Cheshire, Manchester · 5.0 mi · HGVs 1.5% 19,841
A5144 to M56 Trafford · 1.7 mi · HGVs 1.5% 18,669
Junction with B5162 Park Road and A538 Hale Road to Junction at Stockport Road joining A560 Trafford · 2.2 mi · HGVs 0.3% 13,518
A5102 to A34 East Cheshire · 0.6 mi · HGVs 1.9% 9,913
Withinlee Rd, Greendale to A5102 East Cheshire · 3.5 mi · HGVs 1.5% 7,593
A537 to Withinlee Rd, Greendale East Cheshire · 3.7 mi · HGVs 0.8% 7,531

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

Route

East Cheshire to Trafford · 16.9 miles

East Cheshire Trafford
Schematic route: each line joins the junctions at the ends of a DfT count point link.

A538 traffic and collisions by section

7 sections between junctions, in route order. Each is the average of its DfT count points, weighted by length.

Sections Tap a column heading to sort
Sections of the A538 in route order, 2025 traffic
#
1A537 to Withinlee Rd, GreendaleEast Cheshire3.77,5310.8%−5.7%1938.6
2Withinlee Rd, Greendale to A5102East Cheshire3.57,5931.5%−20.1%9
3A5102 to A34East Cheshire0.69,9131.9%−15.9%fewer than 3
4A34 Birrell Way to M56East Cheshire, Manchester5.019,8411.5%4528.5
5M56 mid-junction to M56 spur roundaboutManchester0.234,3381.7%−4.6%fewer than 3
6A5144 to M56Trafford1.718,6691.5%+16.0%7
7Junction with B5162 Park Road and A538 Hale Road to Junction at Stockport Road joining A560Trafford2.213,5180.3%+14.3%1533.2

Vehicles a day is the average daily flow in 2025. “Since 2019” compares the same count points. Collisions are those with the A538 as the first road, placed on the nearest section by their recorded position; rates (per 100 million vehicle miles) are shown for sections of half a mile or more with 10 or more.

A538 traffic by vehicle type

Cars and taxis make up 85.9% of the vehicle miles on the A538. HGVs account for 1.3%.

Vehicle mix, 2025

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

HGV share of traffic

HGVs as a share of vehicle miles on the A538, by year
Year HGV share
2000 1.9%
2001 2.1%
2002 2.0%
2003 1.8%
2004 2.1%
2005 2.1%
2006 2.0%
2007 1.9%
2008 1.7%
2009 1.6%
2010 1.8%
2011 1.9%
2012 1.9%
2013 1.8%
2014 1.8%
2015 1.8%
2016 1.9%
2017 1.8%
2018 1.8%
2019 1.8%
2020 2.0%
2021 1.9%
2022 1.8%
2023 1.5%
2024 1.4%
2025 1.3%

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

A538 traffic trend

Traffic on the A538 came to 83.2 million vehicle miles in 2025. At the count points present in both years, it is down 2.2% on 2019, before the pandemic, and down 13.1% on 2015.

Vehicle miles a year

Like for like, traffic is down 17.4% on 2000.

Vehicle miles on the A538 each year, the whole road as it was that year
Year Vehicle miles
2000 95m
2001 95m
2002 93m
2003 97m
2004 96m
2005 95m
2006 97m
2007 97m
2008 94m
2009 93m
2010 93m
2011 90m
2012 89m
2013 90m
2014 92m
2015 93m
2016 91m
2017 95m
2018 95m
2019 100m
2020 68m
2021 73m
2022 82m
2023 80m
2024 81m
2025 83m

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

Average daily flow

Average daily flow along the A538, weighted by link length, by year
Year Vehicles a day
2000 15,631
2001 15,567
2002 15,273
2003 15,837
2004 15,818
2005 15,617
2006 15,921
2007 15,972
2008 15,406
2009 15,315
2010 15,204
2011 15,280
2012 15,160
2013 15,243
2014 15,628
2015 15,868
2016 15,472
2017 15,501
2018 15,342
2019 15,638
2020 10,590
2021 11,435
2022 12,752
2023 12,506
2024 13,065
2025 13,487

Source:DfT,UK Motoring analysis 2000 to 2025 Updated

The chart counts the whole road as it was each year, so new or renumbered stretches move it. The percentage changes compare only count points present in both years (78.7% of today’s road for 2019). In 2025, 1 of the 8 count points were counted; DfT estimated the rest from earlier counts and local trends.

A538 collisions

Police recorded 99 collisions with the A538 as the first road from 2021 to 2025, fewer than 3 of them fatal or serious. That is 24.9 per 100 million vehicle miles, lower than the 31.5 for all A-roads in Great Britain. On average there were 1.2 a year for each mile of road.

Reported collisions by year

Down 50.0% from 2021 to 2025.

Police-reported collisions on the A538 by year
Year Collisions
2021 24
2022 15
2023 25
2024 23
2025 12

Source:DfT STATS19,UK Motoring analysis 2021 to 2025 Updated

Sections with the highest collision rates

Per 100 million vehicle miles, 2021 to 2025. Sections of half a mile or more with 10 or more collisions.

Collisions per 100 million vehicle miles by section of the A538, 2021 to 2025
Section Per 100m vehicle miles
A537 to Withinlee Rd, Greendale East Cheshire · 19 collisions 38.6
Junction with B5162 Park Road and A538 Hale Road to Junction at Stockport Road joining A560 Trafford · 15 collisions 33.2
A34 Birrell Way to M56 East Cheshire, Manchester · 45 collisions 28.5

Source:DfT STATS19,UK Motoring analysis 2021 to 2025 Updated

A further 28 collisions were recorded at junctions where the A538 was the second road; they are not in the figures above. Fatal or serious uses DfT’s adjusted serious figures. How we count collisions

Council areas on the A538

In route order. Each is the highway authority DfT files the count points under.

  • East Cheshire
  • Manchester
  • Trafford

Data sources and methodology

Datasets used on this page
Figures Source Period Records Updated
Traffic counts and vehicle mix Road traffic statistics (AADF by count point) Department for Transport
Derived statistics UK Motoring
2000 to 2025 8 count points in 2025 15 September 2026
Reported collisions Road safety open data (STATS19) Department for Transport
Derived statistics UK Motoring
2021 to 2025 99 reported collisions 15 September 2026
  • Annual average daily flow (AADF) is the average number of vehicles passing a point on a typical day of the year, both directions combined.
  • Vehicle miles are AADF multiplied by link length and 365, summed over every count point link on the road.
  • Sections join count point links between junctions, using the link lines in DfT’s major road database.
  • STATS19 covers personal injury collisions reported to the police. Damage-only collisions are not included, and not every injury collision is reported.
  • Serious and slight figures are DfT’s adjusted estimates, which allow for police forces moving to injury-based reporting.
  • Counts of one or two collisions below Great Britain level are shown as “fewer than 3”.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.